Article: Shutdown
Effects on Economy May be Slim
Author: Charles
Wilbanks
Date
of article: October 3, 2013
News
Source: Money Watch (CBS)
As everyone and their mother
knows, the United States government shutdown early Tuesday morning, October 1,
2013, furloughing about 800,000 government employees deemed “unessential” to
the system. I had a few questions before reading this article about this whole
situation so I researched. First question: why October 1st? Well the
fiscal year is between October 1st and September 30th.
Second, why the shutdown? The shutdown is basically a way of buying time because
the two sides, democrats and republicans, cannot agree on a spending bill to
fund the government for this fiscal year. Third, why is this any different from
all the other years? Obamacare was to be added to this fiscal year’s bill, obviously
making it costlier than previous years. Republicans demand that the new
healthcare program be taken out of the bill while the democrats insist its
stay.
So how does all this pertain to
and affect the economy? Everyone was dramatizing its effect the first few days,
going on about the situation as if it were an apocalyptic event when in all
reality, the economy might not be that harmed by this move. Although, it would
obviously be better off if the government was fully functional as usual, but this
has happened before. In 1995, the government shutdown for 21 days, three weeks
later, the economy was back to its health so this shutdown should not be new to
us or our
economy.
The
article put it bluntly “Research
firm IHS Global Insight estimates that a one-week shutdown would shave off less than a tenth of a
point from fourth-quarter GDP. Roughly 800,000 federal employees went on
furlough on Tuesday after Congress failed to pass a bill to fund the
government.” It goes on to further prove the
point that "The spending habits of government employees probably
would not change if the shutdown was short-lived, particularly if they believed
that they would receive back," IHS added. "Meanwhile, incomes would
be maintained for Social Security beneficiaries. Medicare payments would also
continue, so spending on health care services would not be harmed and hospitals
and doctors would receive payments."
This articles argues that the
shutdown “hurts consumer confidence,
and it doesn't help with cash flow, but in terms of financial impact it's going
to be made up when the government reopens.” Instead, the biggest downfall in
this situation is not the economic loss, as small as they are, “the biggest
problem is people can see what a dysfunctional government we have,” which is
somewhat surprising but true. Now, after this hiccup, if the people were so
blind to see the imperfections of our government before, now have a clear
beautiful picture of the jumble of mess we call our government.
No comments:
Post a Comment